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Struggling Zach Wilson can’t keep up with Josh Allen, Bills – The Mercury News

NewsStruggling Zach Wilson can’t keep up with Josh Allen, Bills – The Mercury News



1 p.m., Payments by 12 ½, 47 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: The inflated line is a priority. The Payments put it in cruise management final week and allowed the Packers a again door cowl. However will they take their foot off the gasoline once more? That is solely Buffalo’s second divisional recreation. The Payments misplaced their first one in Miami and there’s no means Buffalo goes to look previous an AFC East opponent with the Jets’ document. With the dynamic Breece Corridor sidelined and Zach Wilson struggling, the Jets merely don’t have the offensive firepower to maintain up with Josh Allen and the boys. The Payments ought to shut down the Jets’ operating recreation because the Patriots did final week and Wilson’s INT issues may feed into much more Buffalo factors.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Payments and the over.


1 p.m., Packers by 3 ½, 49

HANK’S HONEYS: Inexperienced Bay actually wants this recreation to retain any playoff hopes and the flailing Lions current a golden alternative. The Packers confirmed just a few indicators of life within the second half towards the highly effective Payments final week, notably with a operating recreation that has been ignored too typically this yr. That ought to proceed towards a dreadful Lions D and permit the completely disappointing Aaron Rodgers to lastly get untracked. The sport additionally presents a chance for disappointing Inexperienced Bay protection to start out taking part in to its expertise stage. The Lions formally gave up on the season by buying and selling standout tight finish T.J. Hockenson to the rival Vikings, a transfer that may’t do a lot for morale.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Packers and the over.


1 p.m., Raiders by 1 ½, 47

HANK’S HONEYS: These are two groups that seemingly discover methods to lose each week after elevating hope for his or her fan bases coming into the yr. However there may be motive to again the house canine. The offenses are evenly matched however Jacksonville’s protection has performed significantly better this season and we count on a so-far inconsistent Trevor Lawrence to be in considerably of a consolation zone right here. The Raiders have the statistical worst go rush within the league and are close to the underside in opponents’ yards per go try, completion share, third down conversion charge and crimson zone TD ratio. Search for Evan Engram to have a giant recreation towards a protection that may’t cowl tight ends.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Jaguars and the over.


1 p.m., Bengals by 7 ½, 44

HANK’S HONEYS: After one other blowout loss to their nemesis Browns, the Bengals will look to rebound at residence towards an inferior opponent. The Panthers have been taking part in arduous for interim coach Steve Wilks, notably on protection. However they’re nonetheless having issues attending to the QB and that’s the a technique you may beat Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Carolina’s poor third-down conversion charge ensures that the Bengals’ offense will get loads of alternatives with the ball.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bengals and the over.


1 p.m., Vikings by 3 ½, 44 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: The Vikings might not be pretty much as good as their document suggests however they’re loads higher than the Commanders. T.J. Hockenson is a giant addition to an offense that was already various and stocked with weapons and can solely add to their success within the crimson zone. Washington has profited from the gritty play of Taylor Heinicke however the magic can’t proceed for lengthy. The three straight wins have come towards the Bears, the struggling Packers and the Colts in Sam Ehlinger’s first begin. It is a step up.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Vikings and the over.


4:05 p.m., Cardinals by 2, 49 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: The Seahawks have been on a run behind an enhancing protection (15 ppg over final three) that stymied the Cardinals three weeks in the past. DeAndre Hopkins’ return since has helped the Arizona offense however the Cardinals stay too sporadic on either side of the ball. Geno Smith’s resurgence is among the tales of the season and Kenneth Walker is rising as a prime operating again. After being run over by the Vikings for 173 dashing yards, we don’t belief the Cardinals protection to cease each. Backside line: the Seahawks are taking part in successful soccer and the Cardinals aren’t.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Seahawks and the over.


8:20 p.m., Chiefs by 12 ½, 47

HANK’S HONEYS: Control Ryan Tannehill’s harm standing after all. However the Titans have the recipe to get below this double-digit unfold due to their dedication to a Derrick Henry-led operating recreation that may shorten the clock and preserve Patrick Mahomes off the sector. Their secondary is a priority towards Okay.C.’s downfield passing recreation however they will additionally create some four-man stress that may enable them to drop extra folks into protection. As soon as the Chiefs get going as they did their final day trip, the purpose spreads are likely to balloon however Tennessee is permitting simply 19.7 ppg with the Chiefs at 24.6 and on that foundation alone, this quantity is simply too excessive.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Titans and the below.


1 p.m., Dolphins by 5, 41 ½

HANK’S HONEYS: Despite their blowout loss in Dallas, the Bears are getting higher on offense behind the improved play of Justin Fields. Miami’s protection is ranked No. 26 towards the go and has struggled to maintain up with cellular QBs like Fields, having allowed 166 mixed yards to Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. The Bears at the moment are the No. 1 dashing offense within the league and may preserve Tua Tagovailoa and his playmakers off the slower grass taking part in floor of Soldier Subject.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bears and the below.


4:25 p.m., Patriots by 5 ½, 41

HANK’S HONEYS: This one shapes as an actual grinder and whereas Invoice Belichick’s Patriots all the time earn the matchup benefit towards inexperienced quarterbacks like Sam Ehlinger, the Colts are adequate on protection to maintain issues shut. They’ve allowed greater than 20 factors solely 3 times in eight video games and have good numbers towards the go, which means that Mac Jones (three TDs, seven INTs) may battle right here. The firing of offensive coordinator Marcus Brady (regardless that Frank Reich known as the performs) may function a wakeup name to Indy’s turnover-prone offense. No less than Ehlinger took higher care of the ball final week. The Pats ought to win right here however in an in depth one.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Colts and the below.


4:25 p.m., Bucs by 2 ½, 43

HANK’S HONEYS: Yeesh. Take your choose of which crew has been extra of a disappointment. Tom Brady is displaying his age in addition to his mood whereas the Rams are a backside 5 unit on offense. Their offensive line is endangering Matthew Stafford’s well being and now they’ll face a Tampa Bay go rush that’s attending to the quarterback on 8.5% of dropbacks, the third-best charge within the league. Stafford has to hope that Cooper Kupp’s ankle gained’t be a problem or his safety blanket might be gone. The Bucs protection has points towards the run however that’s much less of an element right here. In a recreation between two pass-happy groups, the Bucs rank fourth and the Rams twenty fifth in yards per go try.

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bucs and the below.

* * *



1 p.m., Chargers by 3, 47

HANK’S HONEYS: It’s a recreation of strengths versus weaknesses. Justin Herbert might be up towards the Thirty first-ranked go protection (and second-worst go rush) within the league whereas the Falcons’ fourth-best operating recreation faces a Charger D that doesn’t even appear like it’s fascinated with stopping the run, permitting a league-worst 5.7 ypc. Atlanta would possibly get Cordarelle Patterson again this week whereas the lack of WR Mike Williams continues to harm the Chargers. The Bolts are 3-0 ATS on the street and the Falcons, after beginning out the yr unbeaten towards the unfold, have didn’t cowl their final two.

CAN’T HELP YOURSELF? Falcons and the below.

* * *



Monday, 8:15 p.m., Ravens by 2 ½, 49

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Ravens and the over.

* * *

WEEK’S BEST BET: Seahawks. Getting higher each week.


OVERALL: 55-67-1 ATS, 63-59-1 OVER/UNDER



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