The Ravens have gained 4 straight whereas the Jaguars have misplaced six of their final seven. So this one needs to be straightforward, proper? Not so quick. Jacksonville has a formidable offense when quarterback Trevor Lawrence is on his sport. Will the underdogs maintain any benefits of their matchup with the Ravens?
Ravens passing sport vs. Jaguars cross protection
Within the midst of a sloppy offensive efficiency, Lamar Jackson related on all 9 of his throws to broad receiver Demarcus Robinson within the Ravens’ 13-3 win over the Carolina Panthers. Robinson has emerged because the workforce’s prime exterior risk within the absence of Rashod Bateman. Tight finish Mark Andrews additionally got here again from per week misplaced to harm in advantageous kind, taking part in 64 of 69 offensive snaps and catching six passes on eight targets. The Ravens appear to have forgotten broad receiver Devin Duvernay, who began the season so effectively. Jackson has focused him simply as soon as in every of the final two video games. Rookie tight finish Isaiah Doubtless additionally pale to the background with Andrews within the lineup, catching one cross for one yard on three targets. With a paucity of cross catching expertise in comparison with different prime contenders, the Ravens have to squeeze extra out of the receivers they do have. Their cross safety, so good in latest weeks, suffered a blow when left deal with Ronnie Stanley left the Carolina sport with an ankle harm. Patrick Mekari has performed effectively as a stand-in, however Stanley’s elite cross blocking and mobility are important.
The Ravens will face one of many league’s worst cross defenses after they journey to Jacksonville. The Jaguars rank twelfth in pressures per drop-back however have simply 16 sacks to point out for it. They’ve a couple of gifted starters in cornerback Tyson Campbell, a second-round choose in 2021, and out of doors linebacker Josh Allen, a first-round choose in 2020. Devin Lloyd is a prolific playmaker within the center, although he struggles in protection. They don’t have plenty of defenders who scare anyone.
Jaguars passing sport vs. Ravens cross protection
Trevor Lawrence, the No. 1 total choose in 2021, has been erratic in his second season, mixing sensible video games in opposition to the Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Chargers with stinkers in opposition to the Denver Broncos and Houston Texans. The Jaguars are likely to rise and fall along with his efficiency, however their offense is certainly not toothless, rating eleventh in cross DVOA, per Soccer Outsiders. Large receiver Christian Kirk (52 catches on 82 targets, 679 yards, seven touchdowns) is Lawrence’s favourite goal. Large receivers Zay Jones (47 catches on 65 targets) and tight finish Evan Engram (36 catches on 51 targets) have additionally produced as beneath choices. Jacksonville’s cross safety, anchored by tackles Cam Robinson and Jawaan Taylor, is stable.
The Jaguars will face a Baltimore protection that gave the Panthers suits on Sunday, sacking Baker Mayfield 4 instances and choosing him off twice. The Ravens blitz much less ceaselessly and generate fewer pressures than the Jaguars however rank eighth within the league with 31 sacks, an equation they’ll fortunately settle for. Exterior linebacker Justin Houston leads them with 9 sacks, whereas fellow veteran Jason Pierre-Paul performed his finest sport as a Raven in opposition to Carolina, with two tackles for loss and an interception. Inside linebackers Patrick Queen and Roquan Smith have additionally produced as cross rushers in coordinator Mike Macdonald’s scheme. Cornerback Marlon Humphrey basically eradicated any Panthers receiver who got here his manner and helped seal the win along with his third interception of the season. Marcus Peters’ fourth-quarter strip, in the meantime, arrange the Ravens’ solely landing. The Ravens, now eighth in cross DVOA, will miss rookie Kyle Hamilton, who had change into their major choice at nickel again, if he’s unable to go in opposition to the Jaguars after he harm his knee in opposition to Carolina.
Ravens working sport vs. Jaguars run protection
The Ravens averaged simply 3.8 yards per carry in opposition to a Carolina protection that was geared to chop off their exterior lanes and spy on Jackson’s each step. They nonetheless common 5.4 yards per carry total, second within the league, and had run for not less than 150 yards in eight straight video games earlier than assembly the Panthers. They hope to have their strongest runner, Gus Edwards, again from a hamstring harm in opposition to Jacksonville. Kenyan Drake (390 yards, 4.7 yards per carry) was working again No. 1 of their final two video games, although Jackson (666 yards, 6.9 yards per carry) is all the time a very powerful on this floor assault. He was sick going into the Carolina sport and completed with a subpar 31 yards on 11 carries.
The Jaguars rank fifteenth in run DVOA and permit simply 4.2 yards per carry, although the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles each gouged them for greater than 200 dashing yards. Lloyd is an efficient run defender at linebacker, whereas 6-foot-4, 320-pound defensive deal with Davon Hamilton is Jacksonville’s finest inside run stuffer.
Jaguars working sport vs. Ravens run protection
The Jaguars will current a big problem to a Baltimore protection that has not allowed an opponent to hurry for greater than 50 yards since Week 7. Travis Etienne is a dynamic runner who averages 5.5 yards per carry and 72.5 yards per sport. His Professional Soccer Focus run grade of 90 ranks fourth amongst all working backs. Lawrence (4.8 yards per carry, three touchdowns) can also be a risk if left unattended.
The Ravens smothered a stable Carolina working assault and have performed with elevated velocity and ferocity of their two video games because the commerce for Smith. He and Queen mixed for 19 tackles in opposition to the Panthers with each taking part in each defensive snap. Defensive finish Calais Campbell and defensive deal with Justin Madubuike grade as superb run defenders on the inside. The Ravens permit simply 4.1 yards per carry, seventh finest within the league.
Ravens particular groups vs. Jaguars particular groups
The Ravens proceed to steer the league in special-teams DVOA. Justin Tucker has made 20 of twenty-two subject purpose makes an attempt, along with his solely misses coming from 56 and 61 yards. Duvernay is the league’s finest returner, although he has managed simply 5 return yards during the last two video games. Rookie punter Jordan Stout has raised his sport after an inconsistent begin, placing 15 of his 36 kicks contained in the opponent’s 20-yard line.
The Jaguars rank thirteenth in particular groups DVOA because of good work from kickoff returner Jamal Agnew and punter Logan Cooke. Kicker Eddy Pineiro has made 18 of 20 subject purpose makes an attempt, although he has tried only one from 50 yards or past and has missed two further factors. Kicker Riley Patterson, alternatively, has missed 4 of 18 subject purpose makes an attempt with three of these coming inside 50 yards.
Ravens intangibles vs. Jaguars intangibles
The Ravens have gained 4 in a row and are gaining confidence that they’ve a championship-caliber protection to go along with Jackson on offense. Coach John Harbaugh has them on monitor for a fourth playoff look in 5 years after they struggled to carry leads early within the season.
The Jaguars have gone in the other way beneath first-year coach Doug Pederson, discovering methods to lose shut video games after they jumped to a constructive begin with a pair of early blowouts. They dropped three straight house video games in October by a mixed 17 factors. They are going to be rested coming off their bye week.
The Ravens can not afford a flat efficiency in opposition to the Jaguars, who run the ball effectively and string collectively first downs when quarterback Trevor Lawrence is on kind. Jacksonville has not been blown out all season, so anticipate a nail-biter earlier than the Ravens assert themselves with superior protection and extra dependable particular groups. Ravens 23, Jaguars 16